Enterprise ROI continues to be elusive

Cartoon arms holding cash and burger, connected by tubes to a machine on a green grid background.
NICHOLAS LITTLE, from this IEEE article.

Original Content

Here’s a summary of a new post on my weblog:

Three years into the generative AI boom, enterprise ROI remains stubbornly hard to find. Survey after survey shows a familiar pattern: widespread experimentation, lots of “in production” claims, and very little impact on revenue, costs, or P&L. The usual explanation is “culture,” but that’s a dead end for IT - culture change belongs to executives, and most employees don’t believe leadership has a real plan anyway. What can IT actually do to help? We know this: AI-assisted coding is already increasing delivery speed. This shifts the real bottleneck to day two AI operations. If AI 2x or 4x’s the number of apps an enterprise must run, existing infrastructure and operating models will fail. That’s exactly what platforms are built to help with.

I’ve got a longer version of that on my weblog today with plenty of links to those ROI frownies.

Here’s some other things I’ve done since last time:

Relative to your interests

A vibrant graffiti mural features a green-faced character in a bucket hat, alongside various colorful abstract shapes and tags on a concrete wall. Duivendrecht, The Netherlands.
Recently on the Duivendrecht/Diemen Zuid line.
Shoulda known.
  • Microsofts Ex-VP of HR Shares How to Avoid the ‘Underperformer’ Label - Be well known around the company, do some personal marketing, “have an impact” on other teams and make sure people know about it. // When there’s blood on the boardroom floor, there is no “I” in team.

  • Nadella talks AI sovereignty at the World Economic Forum - Fears about rivals putting your national and corporate interests into AI training. I suppose it’s just like fear of TikTok: that it’s a propaganda tool, as well as just a simple data gathering tool, i.e., surveillance.

  • Deloitte sees enterprises adopting AI without revenue lift - Yes: “about what benefits AI is actually providing today, 66 percent said it’s improving productivity and efficiency.” But: “How that works when only 20 percent report revenue growth is left unanswered.” // And: “Currently, 25 percent of organizations say they’ve shifted 40 percent or more of their AI experiments into live use. That number is expected to reach 54 percent of organizations within the next three to six months.”

  • Electricity use of AI coding agents - ‘usage at the equivalent of 4,400 “typical queries” to an LLM, for an equivalent of around $15-$20 in daily API token spend. He figures that to be about the same as running a dishwasher once or the daily energy used by a domestic refrigerator.’ // Get rid of that old fridge in the garage to keep energy usage flat.

  • 🤖 Trapped in the hell of social comparison - Explores how modern social media reshapes economic perceptions by amplifying envy of affluent lifestyles. Argues that algorithmic feeds fuel widespread financial dissatisfaction disconnected from actual economic conditions.

  • 🤖 Failed software projects are strategic failures - Most failed software projects collapse due to strategic misalignment, not bad code. Clear objectives, domain knowledge, and strong internal capability prevent waste and ensure meaningful outcomes. // Coté: if your product idea is shit, even the best code will result in failure.

  • 🤖 Agent Psychosis: Are We Going Insane? - A reflection on how AI coding agents trigger addictive “slop loops,” flooding projects with low-quality output, straining maintainers, and creating insular communities that blur innovation with collective delusion. // Coté: I wonder, though, if this anti-AI stuff is all about aesthetics.

Wastebook

  • Where there is saxophone, synth is sure to follow.

  • “I have no idea what Federighi’s stance is on break-room bananas, but it seems a stretch to think it offers clues to Apple’s strategy on data centers.” Gruber

  • “I am here to tell you, with all the gentleness I can muster, that if you couldn’t fix your life before Claude Code existed, Claude Code is not going to fix it now.” Westenberg.

  • David: Why don’t we have a Jack Daniel’s ad? John: Or if not an ad, just a big bottle of it! The Political Gabfest, Jan 15th, 2026.

  • “I ain’t flew all the way overseas - in a MIDDLE seat - for us to get over here, and fuck up. Don’t mess it up for e’ryone... Greyhound don’t float on water.” Still the best.

Logoff

No need for panic. Alarm, yes. Panic, no. The TACO theory holds. Stand up to Trump and he’ll chicken out. Gruber.

What a weird week.