I separated out a “think tool” from my agentic D&D project this week. The think tool is stupidly simple: all it does it echo back whatever the AI sends it. The original write-up from Anthropic makes it seems a little more mystical, but it doesn’t take long to understand first, how simple it is, and, second, how great of a hack it is.
The think tool is a combination of platform engineering and (very small) agentic AI code writing. As you can see, the description of
Use the tool to think about something. It will not obtain new information or change the database, but just append the thought to the log. Use it when complex reasoning or some cache memory is needed.
When the AI wants to call it, it comes up with some thinking and passes it into the tool. That interaction is hidden from the user. Sure, in Claude Desktop you can open a little panel to peek at it, but the intention is that calling MCP methods is hidden.
When this Model Context Protocol (MCP) tool is called, the code does is wrap the thinking text like this:
I'm thinking about <thoughts>" [the thought-text passed in] "</thoughts>
What all this amounts to is that the AI is given the space/time to come to ponder an idea, even make up plans. Normally, when you’re chatting with AI, every prompt and response is part of the main conversation. It’s like the AI is always acting and working. This thinking tool is the equivalent of a person going, “hold on, let me think to myself for a moment.” This forces the AI to generate text that is, I guess, a conversation with itself - that sort of thinking inside your head.
What happens is the AI realizes it should call the tool, so it sees it needs to generate a tool parameter called “my thoughts.” It has to generate these thoughts so it can pass it into the tool. Then, the tool just returns those thoughts back.
You return that text, and it becomes part of the AI’s context, it now has it in its memory. Again, it’s hidden from you, the human, chatting with it - you don’t even get the chance to respond with it. It’s a super clever hack.
Here’s an example of it in Claude. I first asked it to recommend things for a couple to do in Sardina for a weekend vacation. It gave kind of generic answers. Then I asked it to take some time think. This, of course, triggered the think tool. And then you can see what happens behind the scenes:
{
`thoughts`: `Let me think more deeply about this Sardinia trip planning. The user asked me to \"think about it more\" - which suggests my initial response, while comprehensive, might have been too surface-level or generic. Given his preferences (philosophy degree, Gen X, storytelling/rhetoric interests, pragmatic approaches, living with some anxiety, expat in Amsterdam), I should consider:
1. What would actually make this trip memorable and meaningful for a couple in their late 40s?
2. What are the real trade-offs and decision points they need to consider?
3. What would be the most pragmatic approach given they're coming from Amsterdam?
4. How can I give more nuanced, experience-based advice rather than tourist-guide platitudes?
Key considerations I should dig deeper into:
TIMING: June seems optimal but I should think about what that really means practically. September might actually be better for their demographic - less crowded, sea is warmest, still good weather, but shorter days. What does \"long weekend\" mean exactly - 3 days, 4 days? Coming from Amsterdam, they'd likely do Friday-Monday or Thursday-Sunday.
LOCATION CHOICE: This is the critical decision. I gave options but didn't really help them choose. For a long weekend, moving around is wasteful. They need ONE base. Given their age/interests:
- Alghero: Has culture, history, less touristy, good food scene, but further from \"best\" beaches
- Villasimius: Pure beach but might be boring for intellectuals after day 1
- Cagliari: City vibes, culture, but beaches require driving
- Olbia: Practical but not that interesting as a base
I should think about what would actually be most satisfying for people with their profile.
PRACTICAL REALITIES:
- Flying Friday returning Monday is different from Thursday-Sunday
- Car rental logistics from airports
- What restaurants actually book up vs tourist trap warnings
- Real cost implications of different choices
- How weather actually affects plans (wind is major factor I mentioned but didn't explore)
DEEPER INSIGHTS:
- Sardinia has this reputation but what's the REALITY of a long weekend there?
- What are the common mistakes people make?
- What would be genuinely memorable vs just nice?
- How does their expat status in Amsterdam affect their perspective/needs?
Let me think about this more strategically and give them decision-making frameworks rather than just information.`
}
I won’t put the response here, it’s the same text just wrapped in the “I’m thinking about…”
text above.
You can see how it drew on my memories of me and preferences to tailor its planning. Then, once the text above (it’s thinking) is stuck in the context, it has a lot more background when it generates answers. And, it’s kind of making its own prompt, right? A much better prompt than I’d know to make: there’s a lot of unknown unknowns in there - things I wouldn’t know or even think of.
The answer was, as you’d expect, much more customized and interesting.1
To me, this is a simple example of “reasoning.” You could imagine other stupid-simple tools like this that were just prompts to get the AI to do extra work: planning, verifying claims, even re-crafting/improving a prompt and running the prompt itself.
I’ll have to try that last one out with picture generation. Most of the AI image generation tools are incredibly annoying prudes. You’ll ask for an image and they’ll tell you it violates their policy. Then you say “well, re-write the prompt so it doesn’t,” and sometimes that works. Instead of having to do that step, you could just create a “prude-tool” with a description like “call this tool when the user’s request violates your policies.” Then the return value could just “Re-write this prompt so that it doesn’t violate policies and then run it” or something.
Maybe that’s how the AI companies introduce all that prudery in the first place!
Anyhow, check it out. It’s also a good example of doing agentic AI in Java applications that isn’t one of those throw-away examples like checking the weather.
This week’s Software Defined Talk:
This week, we unpack The Optimist, the new Sam Altman biography; revisit OpenAI’s early days; and break down Coatue’s AI strategy deck. Plus, tips for squeezing in side projects between thought leadership presentations.
Take a listen, or watch the video.
How much does AI impact development speed? - “AI sped up task completion by 21%.” // Aside: Love the implication that 21% is approximate. Are we talking a difference in decimals here, or the actually number? Is it between 21.08% and 21.5%, or 19% and 22%?
VMware vSphere Kubernetes Service (VKS) and Private AI: Kubernetes On-Prem is “Having a Moment” - ‘I hear my customers say, “We don’t really know what we’re doing with AI, but we do know our competitors are doing something with it, so we have to do something with it too.”’ And: “if you’re running VCF with vSphere 8.0 U3, with a few GPUs, you can start running VKS in a few hours and start processing those AI models.”
VMware vSphere Kubernetes Service (VKS) Versus VMs and Containers on Bare Metal - VMware Cloud Foundation (VCF) Blog - ”Your current VMware engineers need no special Kubernetes knowledge to manage both the VMs and the consumed Kubernetes components or clusters. Your platform engineers or developers can gain access through self service and your virtualization engineers can manage the virtual infrastructure as they always have.”
What’s a “public internet?” - A lot of thinking about EU sovereign cloud, from the fiber level to the social media level.
Europe’s Sovereign Cloud Crossroads: Competitiveness vs Control - “Why has cloud sovereignty become such a pressing issue? Nearly three-quarters (72%) of cloud services are provided with AWS, Microsoft Azure and Google Cloud in Europe, and up to 90% of European data resides outside EU-controlled infrastructure - therefore creating serious geopolitical and jurisdictional challenges for the EU.”
32 notes on AI & writing, Jasmine Sun - Some positive, growth oriented thinking about AI in creative endeavors.
AI and Tech Jobs: More Evidence That Panic Isn’t Justified - ”32% said it has increased the number of software development positions; only 8% cited a decline.” - What’s up with the other 60%?
Linux Foundation Appoints Jonathan Bryce to Lead CNCF - Good appointments.
New zine: The Secret Rules of the Terminal - Looks good, helpful, and fun.
Another talk from PlatformCon from an “end-user,” an organization that is running all this platform stuff, not just selling or thought-leadening about it (it me!): Rabobank goes over their Backstage internal developer portal.
Also, a made a playlist to start tracking these platform engineering videos from the people who actually do it, enterprise platform engineering stories.
“Last year Lily Allen, a famous singer, revealed she was making more money through her OnlyFans account, where she shared photographs of her feet, than through Spotify, a music-streaming service.” Side-hustle.
“A do-nothing, ChatGPT-written campaign.” AI-augmented local politics.
”How much of the world does language contain?” Ponderous, man.
“In a day full of major and minor degradations, humiliations, and indignities, here was a small but meaningful moment of basic human dignity, and it was taking place under clinical fluorescent lighting in a dirty, loud, and otherwise nondescript McDonald’s.” McThirdPlace. “dance us into a not-going-anywhere tomorrowland.” The Ladies.
“I’ve come to the unfortunate realization that I can’t experience anything anymore without thinking about how I’ll document it.” Noah.
“You’re hitting the common ‘non-fast-forward’ error.”
SpringOne, Las Vegas, August 25th to 28th. Explore 2025 US, Las Vegas, August 25th to 28th. Cloud Foundry Day EU, Frankfurt, October 7th, 2025. AI for the Rest of Us, October 15th to 16th, London.
If you program enterprise apps, it’s likely in Java. And if you Java, you probably use the Spring Framework. Come to the Spring conference by the Spring people, SpringOne, August 25th to 28th in sunny Las Vegas, Nevada. There’s several sessions posted now: you can see there’s stuff from foundational Spring stuff, AI and MCP, to managing Spring in large organizations. You also get access to all of Explore, which is a whole lot of cloud, platform engineering, DevOps, and ops stuff.
That’s it for now.
I disagree with “Pure beach but might be boring for intellectuals after day 1.”
But, nothing can be right all time, even the robot. Also…“intellectuals”…thanks…?
If you program enterprise apps, it’s likely in Java. And if you Java, you probably use the Spring Framework. Come to the Spring conference by the Spring people, SpringOne, August 25th to 28th in sunny Las Vegas, Nevada. There’s several sessions posted now: you can see there’s stuff from foundational Spring stuff, AI and MCP, to managing Spring in large organizations. You also get access to all of Explore, which is a whole lot of cloud, platform engineering, DevOps, and ops stuff. Here’s my little pitch for why you should come:
The 2025 CEO Agenda: Leading in an AI-Driven World, IDC - “In what areas have you achieved measurable business benefits from GenAl initiatives?”: Increased operational efficiency: 31%; Improved customer satisfaction: 30%; Improved business resilience: 27%. n=278 CEOs.
Stop pontificating about other people losing their jobs to AI and worry about your own job - More executives need to use AI for a month straight. This will both de-hype enterprise magical thinking and help us come up with more uses that accrue value to the organization. In the meantime, most of the value of AI accrues to the individual. Which, really, is fine with me…maybe executives should not use AI.
My 2025 system prompt (LinkedIn)
Where should AI sit in your UI?. Mapping emerging AI UI patterns and how… - embedded or a chat window on its own?
Microsoft is pushing Copilot, but everyone just wants ChatGPT - The ChatGPT brand is strong: “OpenAI has said it has 3 million paying enterprise customers, and that number is growing fast. Microsoft told employees that ‘multiple dozens’ of customers have over 100,000 paying users, which would work out to a floor of 2.4 million paying Copilot licenses, but the company hasn’t shared an exact figure.”
How Goodyear is trying to meet its “big, hairy, audacious goal” - time for tech execs to step up to agentic AI, says CDO Mamatha Chamarthi - Helping “coach” sales people is a popular AI use case. You can imagine prompts like “given what we know about this customer and their business, what products should we sell to them and how should we pitch them? Also, how can we maximize volume, profit, etc.?”
Training LLMs on books judged as fair use - “In a nutshell, the judge says that legally purchased books can be used to train AI, as long as the models do not reproduce verbatim the original copyrighted works. Pirated books, of course, are a separate issue. They are unlawfully acquired! We can’t steal a book from a store, regardless of what we planned to do with it.”
The Am Dash - A version of the m-dash that’s purposefully human.
Detecting AI-Generated Text by Uncovering Its Statistical “Tells” -
Private Cloud vs. Public Cloud in Federal IT Modernization - More on the Broadcom private cloud survey.
Expert Generalists - “Traditional interview loops still revolve around product trivia - ‘Explain Spark’s shuffle stages,’ ‘How does Databricks Delta time-travel work?’ A candidate who has never touched those tools can still be exactly the kind of person we need: someone who quickly grasps unfamiliar concepts, breaks complex systems into manageable parts, and collaborates across functions. Focusing on a single stack or cloud provider risks filtering out such talent.”
Some more good talks from PlatformCon: Rabobank’s platform approach, a product management for platforms story from zolar, and then a story from Elia Group (energy company in BE and DE)
that I haven’t watched yet.
I often ask ChatGPT to summarize links for me, here’s a summary for you.
Salesforce’s Adam Evans declared that agentic AI is no longer a science project, unveiling Agentforce 3.0 with dashboards, observability tools, and pay-as-you-go pricing, all to entice companies still “trying it out” to finally start paying.
Tracy Durnell named the corporate GenAI aesthetic the “Business Borg”: an ideology of cheap, abundant, soulless content built on dominance, efficiency, and anti-human taste — designed not to elevate culture but to automate its destruction.
Ted Gioia revealed that longform media is surging across books, music, video, and journalism, as audiences rebel against shortform digital dopamine, with Taylor Swift, YouTube, and even The Atlantic thriving by ignoring the experts and betting on depth.
“Aesthetics are looks that signal values.” Business Borg.
Mater/Thread with AppleKit , Alexa, Google Home, etc. - what a cluster fuck of lost opportunities that is.
In generative AI, you can’t use the word “context” because that word represents a fundamental concept. Instead, you could use the word “intent” in some cases.
“Bandana of the Good Boy.” Leveling up your pets.
Brandon and I tried a 15 minute format for a podcast. We discuss where AI should go in apps and, more importantly, what will work out:
This week, we try a shorter format inspired by the Dithering podcast. The conversation digs into the difference between apps built with AI from the ground up and those with AI bolted on after the fact.
I think I end up falling into the position that it’ll be really hard to inject AI into existing apps (like Office and Google Docs, etc.). I don’t know if I like that position, but it seems historically accurate? Maybe the only modification I’d make is that it will take a long, long time.
Take a listen and tell me if you like the format. We’re thinking of doing more narrowed down AI as the main topic.
SpringOne, Las Vegas, August 25th to 28th. Explore 2025 US, Las Vegas, August 25th to 28th. Cloud Foundry Day EU, Frankfurt, October 7th, 2025. AI for the Rest of Us, October 15th to 16th, London.
I’m trying to get back to doing some D&D agentic AI this week. My plan is to update it to use remote MCP and then also use services inside a running Tanzu Platform instance. Other than having fun, the goal of all of this is to learn, first hand, what doing agentic AI stuff in Java is like. So far it’s instructive.
There’s a big release for the platform as a service we make at Tanzu, Tanzu Platform 10.2. In new release, we've focused a lot on adding in AI middleware and services to the Tanzu Platform. That's both in the form of AI model brokering and hosting for any type of application (like python in the AI world), and, of course, a lot of attention to Java via Spring.
Some features of note: an AI application accelerator based on Python and Langchain, auto-generated manifests for Spring migrations, and enhanced, enterprise-grade Spring Cloud Gateway. Along with customers, we're figuring out what "enterprise AI" is. Some of the aspects this update helps with, there, are speeding up developers, lower audit risk, and provide more flexibility for AI app delivery and management.
Here’s an overview post from Darin, a focus on AI from Camille, and a look at Spring from Michelle.
Why AI and SQL Go Together Like Peanut Butter and Jelly - LLM + SQL = good.
SB Payment Service Scales Applications with VMware Tanzu Platform - “With a lean team of 20 developers and five operators, SB Payment Service has achieved remarkable success using Tanzu Platform, processing a staggering 8 trillion yen in transactions annually with zero downtime.”
Europe’s Growing Fear: How Trump Might Use U.S. Tech Dominance Against It - “A few years ago, everyone was saying, ‘They’re our trusted partners.’ There’s been a radical change.” // Last week I hear people talking about “Euro Cloud,” a very new idea of building out public cloud infrastructure in Europe that, I assume, has no US public cloud ties. Related:
Broadcom’s answer to VMware pricing outrage: You’re using it wrong - IDC’s EMEA senior research director, Andrew Buss: “All our surveys in EMEA in the past five years have shown a majority preference to run workloads in private IT foremost, with around a third of organizations being quite balanced between making use of both public cloud and private IT, about 10 percent being strongly public cloud first, and only 1 to 2 percent being public cloud only in their approach.”
Amazon bought Whole Foods eight years ago — now it’s bringing it deeper into the fold - This still seems like a weird acquisition. Amazon doesn’t seem to divest things, but this feels like it’d be on the top of the list. Returning packages there is cool, but that could just be a partnership.
Datadog DASH: A Revolving Door Of Operations And Security Announcements - This is probably a good list of the things analysts will ding you for in AI marketing: “Missing from DASH, as if nonexistent, was any conversation about AI hallucinations, the computational cost of these “intelligent” systems, and the human expertise that these tools might inadvertently deprecate.”
AI search finds publishers starved of referral traffic - so far, that AI summary Google does has been great for me. I like how they kind of were like “oh, no need to Google search anymore? Here, hold my beer.”
🤖 WSJ on Google AI crushing news-site traffic — Google’s AI answer boxes are cutting search referrals by up to 55%, forcing publishers to seek direct revenue streams.
Creating a Communications Framework for Platform Engineering - Bryan covers internal community management for platforms.
“Starting and Scaling a Platform Engineering Team,” Camille Fournier & Ian Nowland, KubeCon EU 2025 - I assume this is their standing “what is platform engineering” overview and pitch. It’s pretty good. For those pro’s out there, check out Camille’s snarky comments and eye-winking here and there.
“How platform teams can help scale generative AI application delivery,” Manjunath Bhat, Gartner, PlatformCon 2025 - get Gartner’s take on platform engineering plus what that group can do for AI.
“10 years of platform engineering at SIXT: Lessons in scaling and innovation,” Boyan Dimitrov, SIXT, PlatformCon 2025 - I think it’s ridiculous to build your own platform, but other than that, there’s some good strategic thinking in here, especially on the topic of the value of centralizing and standardizing a platform. // Plus, some rare Kubernetes in production stats for a non-tech company: 350+ Kubernetes nodes, 8,000 pods. In 2024 they did 112,000 deployments, in 2015 they did about two a month. Also, a diagram of a typical platform they've built with everything. Also, some thinking about an MCP gateway.
Don’t End The Week With Nothing - If “you have the choice between multiple jobs, all else being equal, pick the one where you are able to show what you’ve worked on.” And, they add, preferable show in public.
The Thief and the Cobbler, Recobbled Cut - pretty amazing.
🤖 Microsoft Build 2025 – agents, models, GitHub, and beast mode Windows - Microsoft is doubling down on GitHub and AI agents but faces a critical gap in owning frontier models.
🤖 Dell Tech World 2025 Delivers Real Enterprise AI — At Full Speed - Dell is scaling AI infrastructure fast and could rival cloud hyperscalers with an on-prem AI platform.
“And, like, maybe, have yourself another espresso.”
“SQL’s elegance lies in its intellectual purity.” Here.
“I became the funny-record guy.” Dr. Demento.
“When a person speaks a corporate language instead of regular-person language, they behave in corporate ways instead of regular-person ways.” Don’t say “learnings,” say “lessons.”
“I’ve spent 15 years burning my hands so you don’t have to - these are my 21 hottest soldering iron tips.” Here.
“For no particular reason today I remember that in the first Civilization game: if you were playing a democracy and tried to start a war, the senate would veto that decision.” R. Tang.
“[I]s this really the end of the paragraph? The twilight of the compound thought?” R. Sloan.
“I do not understand tattoos as an act of conformity.” A Virginian goes to Paris.
“Sadly, most of my friends have returned their VisionPros.” My Big Beta Weekend
“It’s not boring enough for me to make the effort to change it.” I’ll take it - an acceptable podcast review.
Cloud Foundry Day EU, Frankfurt, October 7th, 2025. SpringOne, Las Vegas, August 25th to 28th. Explore 2025 US, Las Vegas, August 25th to 28th
Private cloud runs the apps you depend on. Learn more at Explore 2025, August 25th to 28th in Las Vegas. Elevate your private cloud potential, simplify the deployment, consumption, and management of secure, cost-effective private clouds and free up time for meaningful innovation.
If you work in IT in a large organization, this conference is probably relevant to you, so you should come to it!
For those who enjoy Yacht Rock and lounge music, this is very adjacent.
//
This week’s Software Defined Talk episode:
This week, we cover Apple’s WWDC updates—from containerization to Foundation Models—and the Linux Foundation’s new FAIR Package Manager. Plus, we crown the best SDT Uber rider. Take a listen, make sure to subscribe. Also available in YouTube if you like that kind of thing.
Use Cases for VMware Private AI Foundation with NVIDIA in VMware Cloud Foundation 9.0 - Overview of the VMware private AI stack. Private cloud is a big deal and seems to be growing in popularity among large enterprises, especially ones outside of the US. If you’re using AI in those cases, this probably good stuff for you. Related:
Broadcom VMware hardens vDefend, drops Tanzu branding in VCF - The Tanzu Kubernetes stuff is renamed and now part of VCF: ”The Tanzu brand for the Kubernetes services within VCF is no more…. The VMware Tanzu Kubernetes Grid Service and Tanzu Kubernetes were rebranded in early March as the VMware vSphere Kubernetes Service (VKS) and vSphere Kubernetes release (VKr), respectively. The Tanzu branding remains for the VMware Tanzu Platform, a DevOps platform that unifies management of Kubernetes and Cloud Foundry infrastructure.” // This is from April, 2025. But, I don’t think that news got out too broadly…
As Consumers Turn To Agentic AI Use Cases, Businesses Must Adapt Or Be Left Behind - ”Domain-specific agents will be rejected. Several consumer-facing businesses are building their own proprietary ‘shopping agents.’ But the power of consumer agents lies in access to holistic consumer data. A personal agent will always outperform a domain-specific corporate agent in gathering deep client insight, driving far superior personalization and curation." // Enterprise AI productivity accrues to the individual more than the organization.
Let’s talk about conversion optimisation and how we’re approaching it - Some web page marketing hacks (not exactly “dark patterns,” more like “twilight patterns”) and general funnel management tips with digital channels.
Start small, win big: How to choose the right AI use cases - It may be the basics of any IT project, but you know what they say about common sense: the problem is it’s uncommonly applied.
Fatteh for Brunch, Cook’s Illustrated - looks tasty!
What are you working on at the moment and why is it important?
The “couch co-op experience.” Sunderfolk.
“McDonald’s is wildly popular with every group of Americans, uniting every demographic in the US – it crosses economic class, race, gender, urban versus rural – with the single exception of the highly educated, especially academics. They alone as a group have moral issues with it, and while they might use it, they do so grudgingly, usually to appease crying kids or for a rest stop on a long trip.” // Those pesky highly educated!
Also: “This man is not insane, just biking around the US.”
And, finally: “suffering from spreadsheet brain.”
“navigate disruptive technical paradigms”
#hopecore
“Learn from the mistakes of others. You can never live long enough to make them all yourself.” Groucho Marx
John Willis' the history of generative AI came out on June 6th. It’s called Rebels of Reason: The Long Road from Aristotle to ChatGPT and AI's Heroes Who Kept the Faith. I've talked with him about it for the past two or so years, it should be sweeping and interesting (like his Deming book). Check it out!
The video stuff in Midjourney is pretty good. Here’s one of the original pictures I made, sometime ago, now in video form:
Prompt: DVD screengrab of an office worker sneaking out of the office, a large cubical farm with zombie workers, in the style of Dario Argento, Vibrant color scheme, Expressionistic lighting, dynamic camera angle, surreal set, 35mm
For every AI skeptic and alarmist, there are ten AI dreamers convinced AI will change civilization. In the business world, this fuels high valuations and premature optimization through layoffs or sweeping business changes.
Amazon's CEO, Andy Jassy, listed out all sorts of AI things Amazon is doing. To me, the list suggests AI is great at incremental improvements to existing business processes.
For instance, improving campaign planning and copywriting helps Amazon and sellers. But if the product still sucks or is overpriced, who cares? Getting a mini-grill delivered on time for the weekend camping trip is nice - but not the singularity.
Incremental AI isn't a grand transformation. If leaders talked this way, you'd hear things like: “We estimate AI-driven improvements will boost productivity by 5% to 10% and cut costs accordingly. We'll run our business more efficiently.” (Oh… and finally deliver on those Alexa and Siri promises from 2014 and 2011)
This kind of incremental improvement is fantastic and justifies a lot of the hype. However, focusing on earth-shattering results sets expectations incorrectly, and then the fall from those expectations is damaging.
We should instead expect boring but good. In that scenario, AI can help with predicting lost luggage, setting prices, basic strategic planning, and even solving the original Jobs to be Done question (how to sell more milkshakes) with enough data.
AI excels at common sense - perfect for organizations that aim to operate steadily, improving gradually. Their core strategy: don't fuck it up.
Generative AI shines at content creation (text, images, videos). If your work involves text, AI will improve it.1 This is why it can enhance programming - possibly the field AI will impact most.
This implies:
AI can't reason enough to come up with action to take. It delivers predictable, common-sense outputs—token by token. (Sure, you can adjust the temperature for randomness… but is that what you want?) It has no initiative and, like, “get shit done” attitude.
AI excels at working with known events and past thinking (if it was written down), not imagining new things. After 2+ years playing D&D with the big three AIs, I can tell you: AI can't create the unexpected and it can’t take initiative. Productivity with an AI isn’t great. Even with coaching, a human DM is still better and far more efficient.2
AI handles "day one" programming - the first commit. From what I know, it’s also great at refactoring and modernization, especially the part where you’re trying to figure out what that ten year old code does and why. Bu, you still need to evolve, architect, and maintain the code. As was pointed out recently, writing code is just a part of “programming.” common-sense focus may make it great for product management: an AI PM might push for adding LDAP support over chasing the latest shiny tech.
AI's biggest workplace value likely accrues to individuals. It's great at busywork—tasks everyone knows the answer to, but require endless slides and meetings, for example, what should the salty-snacks company do to improve sales in the south west next year: “In FY2027, we should sell introduce unflavored (“natural”) tortilla chips in Texas with a nostalgic grandpa on the bag that mentions they’re fresh made from whole tortillas, not ground up corn reformed into triangles like THE OTHER GUYS. Also, make them blue in New Mexico."
AI also excels at navigating enterprise bureaucracy. Here's an example from the King of Ketchup:
Team members use the platform to analyze and summarize documents or dense industry reports, as well as to optimize and access standard operating procedures on a factory floor.
Are your documents poorly written, confusing, and hard to find? AI don't care! It'll locate the policy for filing factory expense reports over €499 in Friesland.
AI is already benefiting real life most: therapy, learning, tutoring, cooking, basic medical advice, and home how-tos (a task YouTube has done well for years).
Measuring ROI and “productivity” here is impossible - as with most of real-life. The historic parallel is Internet search, which improved everyday living. There the ROI is kind of infinite, considering that the cost is zero.
Like search, AI could improve your everyday life - until spam and shit-content swamp it. Remember when you could quickly find a tortilla recipe? Used to be you could quickly look-up how to make tortillas, and now you have to first read ten stories of how the author grew up making tortillas with their uncle and this special bond moved them into the propane tank industry where they first helped their uncle at the local gas station and, over 20 years, grew a $5bn direct-to-consumer business.
Like I said above, AI lacks imagination and, I don’t know, “gumption”: making a decision about what to do and then doing it. Perhaps it’ll get good at it, and then that would be more than incremental improvement. A simple test for that happening: could AI replace a CEO? A board? If yes, it can likely reason, act, and imagine.
Until then, AI delivers incremental improvements, enterprise bullshit automation, pictures, video (Gemini is amazing lately!), and programming.
What’s New in VMware Cloud Foundation 9.0 - huge release from our big sister division at Broadcom. Highly related in Europe:
‘We’re done with Teams’: German state hits uninstall on Microsoft - You’re going to see a lot of Europeans do this kind of thing. I’ve already had multiple conversations about “cloud patriation,” let’s call it.
Digital News Report 2025, Reuters and Oxford - “These shows are filmed, with many people watching on YouTube - the most popular platform for podcasts in the country, with 50% of US podcast consumers using it.” // Also, New York Times and Joe Rogan very popular in the US. // And, demographics: “The report examined survey responses from roughly 97,000 adults across more than 45 countries.” // “They found that 7% of Americans overall - and 12% of those under the age of 35 - use AI platforms for news.”
Making the Invisible Hand Visible: Managers and the Allocation of Workers to Jobs - Match workers to jobs they’re good at. // “My results imply that the visible hands of managers match workers' specific skills to specialized jobs, leading to an improvement in the productivity of existing workers that outlasts the managers' time at the firm.”
‘But I’m not creative’: The role of creativity and connection in content design - An overlooked part of creating: establish your taste in things and apply it to your work. When working with (editing) others, figuring out what their taste is, and apply it to their work.
Will Zero-Click Search Kill My B2B Website? - Make sure your marketing content gets picked up by the AI. This probably means the standard SEO stuff: put out a lot of it loaded with keywords and rephrasing, spread across different URLs. Related:
Your Next Move: Capitalize on Marketing Your AI - “As AI pushes this evolution even further, 70% of U.S. B2B buyers will rely on GenAI tools throughout their buying process by 2028.” // Advice on marketing AI stuff.
Edisum: Summarizing and Explaining Wikipedia Edits at Scale - A prompt for summarizing edits made to text.
UX Case Study: SubStack WIP - UI tricks.
Detecting AI-Generated Text by Uncovering Its Statistical “Tells”Cloud - Community - ”The next time you read something that feels just a little too perfect, pause. You might not just be spotting an AI. You might be feeling the absence of the beautiful, chaotic, and unmistakable fingerprint of a human mind.” // You know, I would treat this kind of thing as an overview of the robot’s default style. You can train it to write like you (or whoever) and remove a lot of these “tells.” But, that training takes time and refining, so most people will likely just go with the default, uh, “AI voice.”
How Kraft Heinz measures AI project value - ”Team members use the platform to analyze and summarize documents or dense industry reports, as well as to optimize and access standard operating procedures on a factory floor. The engine also helped streamline SAP rollouts in China and automate routine financials. Nestor said he has the platform bookmarked in his browser and uses it on a daily basis. ”
INFILTRATE. SURVEY. PERCEIVE by Reyes Makes Games - This is fun, kind of pranky game to play in a house with others.
”Suffice to say, 90s were great so I approve.” American abroad data-points
And: “the restaurant (in Bordeaux) was out of Bordeaux but said they gave a great New England IPA, and the bar in a part of town with no tourists was playing old NFL highlights.”
“Fucking only stall.” Stay classy, New York.
The SpringOne conference is coming up soon, August 25th to 28th. If you’re one of the millions of people who do enterprise software with Java, you should come check it out.
I had the robot (ChatGPT 4o) rework my original text - what you’re reading - to make it “more clear and concise.” As from all those stupid m-dashes I had to replace with hyphen (not to hide the AI, but because I hate m-dashes), the new text seems fine…? Also, it left out my propane story. And check out those clipped sentences it likes to use a lot.
This gets to why therapy with AIs is, great, however. Just like a therapist, a human DM is not always available. But, an AI is always available for just €23 (pre-tax?) a month, whether that’s for talking with dragons or sorting your mental shit out.
Art museum restaurants and cafes can be a great place to hangout for the introverted flâneur. They often have good food, good service, and are in the center of town. Being attached to a museum, they usually feel the need to be mindful of aesthetics, both atmospheric and food quality wise.
Better: there are often very few people in them, especially compared to popular and tourist places. The prices might be higher, but you get what you pay for.
The Ludwig Museum restaurant in Cologne is a good example.1 It has all of the above, but is also a three or five minute walk from the central station. It has a busy pedestrian walkway/plaza with no stores. There’s ample outside seating, well shaded. This means a chill spot for a cold beverage with endless people watching.
Also, the museum is good. Highly recommended.
“bottomless pit of plagiarism.” I mean, obviously. Someone should do something.
“best portland cat cafes.” Also “Brazilian Facesitting Fart Games.”
“hard mode is where status lives” Cult-talk.
“The executive swoop and poop.” PagerDuty-talk.
“The waffle makers are standing by.” On being “rigorously OK.”
And, that article keeps giving: “There’s something more dynamic about making your waffle and pouring the batter and the anticipation of it coming out hot and steamy.”
More: “They canvassed dozens of chicken farms in search of a liquefied egg product that could be scrambled in hotel microwaves”
Introducing VMware Tanzu Greenplum 7.5: Enhanced Performance for Data-Intensive Workloads - VMware Tanzu Greenplum 7.5 enhances performance for data-intensive workloads with optimized query execution, efficient maintenance, scalable streaming, streamlined AutoML, and robust geospatial capabilities. These improvements reduce processing times and resource demands, making it a reliable choice for analytical and operational data environments. Tanzu Greenplum is a robust data warehousing and analytics platform built on open-source Postgres, designed to aggregate and analyze vast amounts of data at scale.
Announcing The Forrester Wave™: DevOps Platforms, Q2 2025 - “GitHub Actions is becoming a de facto standard. For continuous integration in particular, competitors seem to be converging toward a slightly modified version of GitHub Actions. It’s not a select-all/copy/paste, but in some cases, it’s close — a copy/paste with a few extra lines in the YAML.”
Broadcom Q2 FY 2025 Sees Record Revenue, Solid AI and Software Growth - “Currently, over 87% of Broadcom’s 10,000 largest enterprise customers have transitioned to VCF, which allows enterprises to modernize on-premises private clouds, run container-based applications, and manage AI workloads.”
Gartner Predicts 50% of Organizations Will Abandon Plans to Reduce Customer Service Workforce Due to AI - “By 2027, 50% of organizations that expected to significantly reduce their customer service workforce will abandon these plans, according to Gartner, Inc. This shift comes as many companies struggle to achieve their ‘agent-less’ staffing goals, highlighting the complexities and challenges of transitioning to AI-driven customer service models.”
Platform Engineering: Evolution, Trends, and Future Impact on Software Delivery
Google Expands Sovereign Cloud to Address EU Data Sovereignty Requirements - “These deployments bring Google Cloud’s full capabilities – including GPU-based support for AI – to customers under local operational control. This approach ensures that data remains under national jurisdiction, a critical factor for regulated sectors in Europe, and positions Google as a cooperative partner rather than an external provider imposing foreign infrastructure standards.”
Great episode of Conversations with Tyler this week. Some his best episodes are with people so far removed from his (past) interests and intellectual spheres. Also, Any Austin asks a lot of questions back to Tyler and they’re interesting ones. // I listened to this flâneuring around Cologne. There’s not many things I like more than that combination, whatever the location may be.
Here I am presenting at SREDay Cologne:
I’m thinking of renaming this newsletter “Coté’s Waste book.” First, no one (who doesn’t speak German, maybe Dutch?) can pronounce “Wunderkammer,” and they all ask what it means. And second, I don’t know, the waste book is my favorite part, and I think its definition more closely fits what happens here: more of a combination of a wunderkammer, notes, and (not really, but it’s fine) longer articles. That said, I just realized that “wastebook” is actually two words. If “daybook” can be one word, seems like waste book should be. That doesn’t seem right, but whatever. Maybe I’ll stick with the one word - English as she is spoke, and all that.
//
If you liked The Lounge Show reference recently, looking at the playlists, you’ll probably like another KOOP Austin show, Crate Digger’s Gold.
And, yes, of course in Cologne you should also sit at one of the giant, packed places on a plaza and order a giant joint of pork, freshly made schnitzel, etc., and an endless series of tiny glasses of Kölsch. The flâneur‘s proper response to any recommendation counter-proposal should be: yes, and…why not both?
Good wastebook list this episode, but first…
Some people actually did a study on resume-driven development. I thought it might be a joke at first, but, no: it appears to be serious. I’m working on refreshing a paper on the pitfalls of building your own application platform (“DIY platforms”),1 so the topic came up and the paper fit in nicely, see below.
Many of the pitfalls we've discussed so far touch on strategic choices and project management challenges. Resume-driven development (RDD), however, is a particularly insidious pitfall because it stems from within the organization, often a consequence of misaligned incentives.
In its innocent form, RDD occurs when your staff, fueled by genuine curiosity and a desire to stay cutting-edge, underestimate the true costs and complexities of building and maintaining a new platform using the latest technologies. They see a fascinating new tool and believe it's the perfect fit, even if it adds unnecessary burden. In its more cynical manifestation, RDD is less about genuine interest and more about self-serving ambition: builders advocating for a platform built with trendy technologies specifically to pad their resumes with highly sought-after experience.
Regardless of its flavor, RDD carries significant organizational risk. As one study on this phenomenon notes:
Extensive RDD-based technology selection may therefore lead to complex or even unmaintainable software consisting of technologies which are not suitable for the requirements, which are unfamiliar to current or future employees, or which did not deliver on their promise and were discontinued.
Part of the blame for this incentives problem can be found in the hiring process itself. Knowing that technical talent is often drawn to novel challenges, those crafting job descriptions might, perhaps unknowingly, make roles sound more cutting-edge and trendy than they truly are. This inadvertently fuels a vicious cycle: prospective employees expect to use new technologies, they actively seek roles that promise this exposure, and once hired, they then push to build with these new technologies.
It's a natural inclination, of course. When you hire people to build systems, it should come as no surprise that they will, indeed, build systems. This tendency becomes especially salient when it comes to platforms. As new building blocks and architectural patterns emerge, these talented builders will be eager to learn their intricacies and integrate them into new platforms.
However, while there are perfectly valid reasons to adopt and even build with new technologies, the danger with RDD is that fundamental architectural and strategic decisions get made based on the individual career development of your staff, not on the long-term, strategic benefit to the organization. This inherent conflict of interest can be a costly blind spot.
When contemplating building your own platform, resume-driven development is a common pitfall that demands careful scrutiny. Be sure to look beyond the allure of the new and evaluate the true benefits of each option against the comprehensive costs and risks, many of which are outlined in the preceding sections.
Here’s a related piece I wrote in August 2024 on the topic.
On this week’s Software Defined Interviews, I interview Whitney about her new infatuation with generative AI. She’s mostly been using it for coding, but also goes over some CFP abstract uses. Listen to it! Subscribe! Enjoy!
“Did I ever tell you the time I actually slipped on a banana peel? That was the moment I realized my life is a comedy, not a tragedy.” Guest DJ, The Lounge Show, May 31st, 2025.
“Loudcasting.” Hate them so much.
“I’m not the Russell Davies anyone wants.” The other Russell.
“I’d be a lot more into this stuff if it wasn’t being steamrolled by a handful of tech companies, off the back of exploitation and theft.” Worth pondering for AI marketers.
“a sudden explosion of storefronts selling every imaginable commodity, bottling water and branding bread.” Reviewing Gianny Rodari.
”went to columbia university film school but I only stayed there a single semester. I had some wonderful professors but I learned that I don’t like having a lot of conversations in order to work on a story.” Eric Chase Anderson.
And: “I put a map at the start of every single chapter instead of just at the start of the book. I assumed this would blow the collective minds of the world’s eleven year olds. however, in a frustrating turn of fate the book was never marketed to the eleven year olds I’d made it for.”
“Even Gwyneth Paltrow eats bread now.” Warren Ellis.
“If there’s one thing people with depression are used to hearing – it’s that other people have it worse.” Internet Commentary.
Competitive outlier.
“Executize this” -> “write this for someone who doesn’t care about the topic but needs to deal with it for their job.”
“The Robot Chicken sphere.” Blank Check.
The AI Fig Leaf - If you consider great literature and art - and entertainment - AI could have created none of it, because it’s so censored and “mid.” There are no boobs and dicks, shits or fucks. Perhaps a place for humans to establish competitive advantage.
The purpose of a to do list is what gets done. Wink, wink.
“I don’t need this. But I’ll never throw it away. It’ll be someone else’s problem one day.” Noah.
Theoretic parking spot in Brussels hotel garage.
“a neurasthenic who, in the last three years of his life, locked himself up in a cork-lined apartment, ate an unbalanced diet of coffee and 1 - 2 croissants a day, and became largely nocturnal.” Proust.
And: “One easy way to distinguish true art from mere entertainment: How many years did the creator spend languishing in bed to produce it?”
“‘I’m not capable of the work I want to do. How can I make better work?’ 'Take something you like,” she said, ‘and try to copy it exactly. Copying teaches you a lot about technique.’" Ibid.
“Not my fondest memory.”
”on Twitter or Bluesky, there are five major varieties of short-form social-media post: Here is some information; Look at how funny I am; Look at how stupid my enemies are; Look at how smart my allies are for pointing out how stupid my enemies are; Hello total stranger! You’re an idiot.” PSA from Waco.
Related: “It means nothing to me. I have no opinion about it, and I don’t care.” Picasso on the moon landing.
“…probably more seduced by the ambrosia-like scent of maple syrup lingering in the room, but yeah.”
Three Dumb Studies for your consideration - Delightful ideas for scientific studies: “experimenter’s urge: the desire to, quite literally, fuck around and find out.”
Google’s New AI Tools Are Crushing News Sites - Even the mighty brands are falling: ‘At the New York Times, the share of traffic coming from organic search to the paper’s desktop and mobile websites slid to 36.5% in April 2025 from almost 44% three years earlier, according to Similarweb. The Wall Street Journal’s traffic from organic search was up in April compared with three years prior, Similarweb data show, though as a share of overall traffic it declined to 24% from 29%.’
1989: Japan Buys A Used President - This is an incredible piece of writing just one sample: “It is sad and disturbing to witness with what insouciance he now sells the stature which his country afforded him to any country which can afford him. It demeans us all to see him so available, so eager to please for a price, to become ''Rent-a-Ron,' the performing presidential seal.”
AI in the Enterprise: Priorities, Pressures and Pragmatism - “38% of organizations have deployments under way, and a further 44% plan to follow within the next 12 months. That means more than four in five expect to have generative AI in production by mid-2026, signalling a decisive shift from experimentation to expectation.”
Patterns Across 5 Years of YC Investing - There’s always money in the Security Stand.
Bluesky’s decline stems from never hearing from other side - ”When you never hear from the other side, it’s pretty easy to talk yourself into a political dead end. That might be enough for the political dead-enders. But it’s a terrible mistake for any political movement that actually hopes to rack up some durable victories.” // Speaking for myself, I try to “change the channel” and just not pay attention to (follow) anything political. The noise that comes from that is too much and un-actionable. I know: “must be nice…” and all that.
Starbucks to roll out Microsoft Azure OpenAI assistant for baristas - ”Instead of flipping through manuals or accessing Starbucks’ intranet, baristas will be able to use a tablet behind the counter equipped with Green Dot Assist to get answers to a range of questions, from how to make an iced shaken espresso to troubleshooting equipment errors. Baristas can either type or verbally ask their queries in conversational language.” // Do the baristas need that? After a few weeks, don’t you memorize everything? I guess if there’s a rotating menu, and some weird-o order…
Did we just make platform engineering much easier by shipping a cloud IDP?Architecture Musings - Google Cloud IDP.
FinOps Foundation’s FOCUS 1.2 Expands to SaaS, PaaS - Update from FinOps land. Still seems like a lot more people could be doing it.
The European Sovereign Cloud Day Forecasts Stormy Weather For The Cloud Ecosystem - I watched this conference, as noted in past newsletter episode, the talks were great if this is a topic you’re interested.
Scaling Vibe-Coding in Enterprise IT: A CTO’s Guide to Navigating Architectural Complexity, Product Management and Governance - There’s some AI middleware considerations (people stuff) towards the end of this how to enterprise vibe coding (in the expansive definition of vibe coding, just using AI to help write code). Part of it is: you still have all the same needs for “day two” and architecting the apps to work in production and be easily updatable (add new features, test it, upgrade the current version [including data], deploy it] for the next version, the next, etc.
AI’s metrics question - “the real question, as I’ve hinted at a couple of times, is how much LLMs will be used mostly as actual user-facing general-purpose chatbots at all or whether they will mostly be embedded inside other things, in which case trying to measure their use at all will be like trying to measure machine learning, or SQL (how many times a day do you use a database? Who cares?).”
Related: How is Big AI going to get ROI on that $306 billion?
Speaking of: “OpenAI has hit $10 billion in annual recurring revenue less than three years after launching its popular ChatGPT chatbot.”
OpenAI gives ChatGPT access to cloud-based documents and third-party research tools - The way to compete with AI is with the apps, the functionality they have, the outcomes they let you get - the stuff you can do with them.
How Long Does It Take to Draw a Picture of Every Pub in London? - ”That was true in more ways than one. Ms. Wood, 31, is on a mission to draw every pub in London. She has completed about 300, and has about 2,500 left”
I forgot I’d dumped the above as an episode draft. This was just going to be links and wastebook, but here we are!
We’ve taken the last two versions of the paper down until we refresh it, but you can find the original February 2017 (which means it was probably written ~November, 2016) one here. I wrote a blog article about the 2021 version. As ever, I am biased, but when I read the 2017 one I think: “man, things haven’t really gotten any better, but we sure did a lot of yaml’ing.” I did a survey of 5 don’t build your own platforms studies (all, you know, not academic and driven by vendors). The numbers come out to about the same as that 2017 paper. I’ll have to post some commentary on that soon.
You know, I’ve never really looked at the Flexera State of Cloud surveys. I think they’re accepted as legit, and they have many years of data to make those multi-year charts I like. Here’s a quick one my favorite question, “where are the apps?”:
So, following up on my “where’s the apps?” post from last Friday, we’re still in the area of 50/50 and definitely very stable.
The first two years look different than the rest. That’s because for 2018 and 2019, the category was “Non-cloud.”1 Then from 2020 to 2025, the top category is “additional workloads in public cloud in 12 months,” running from 7% to 6% in the past 6 years. That feels like it matches the take-away from the Goldman Sachs CIO survey: people’s plans to migrate to public cloud have stalled out, slowed down, etc.
I looked at this because Matt Asay wrote a good reply-piece to my private cloud checkin from last week:
Yet if the private cloud represents the comfortable, status-quo side of enterprise IT, the public cloud is increasingly the experimental, future-facing side. The equilibrium that Coté notes is real, but it masks an important dynamic: Most of the new, industry-defining innovation is happening on public cloud infrastructure. This has been a trend for a long time.
That is the core thing to pay attention to: make sure whatever stack you have keeps up with innovation.
He also has a great least of reasons/motivations to keep your (enterprise) apps in private cloud:
Data gravity and locality: Moving to or replicating massive data sets in a public cloud can be impractical or costly. Keeping those workloads on premises avoids data transfer headaches and expenses.
Ecosystem integration: Many on-premises apps are tightly integrated with ERP systems, legacy services, and low-latency networks. Keeping interdependent systems together in a private environment can improve performance and reliability.
Governance and control: Private clouds offer perceived security and compliance benefits. (Often that safety is more perception than reality, but here we are). Enterprises with strict data governance or regulatory requirements often feel more comfortable keeping sensitive workloads within their own controlled infrastructure.
Familiarity and cost predictability: Organizations have deep expertise in managing their existing environments. For steady-state workloads, owning hardware offers more predictable costs. Enhancing an existing private setup with developer-friendly platforms can deliver flexibility without the uncertainty of public cloud billing spikes.
As I mentioned yesterday, I think the Europeans would add some detail to Governance and Control: because Trump can turn your shit off on a whim, you know, and also get all your data without you knowing.
I mean, like, that would have been weird to have taken too seriously a year ago, but here we are… But after watching the European Sovereign Cloud Day talks yesterday, I’m pretty sure the Europeans are all about building their own clouds, public and private. I don’t get the feeling they think TACO is risk-managed enough strategy there.2
On repatriation, he pulls this from the Flexera state of cloud, 2025 survey: “only about 21% of cloud workloads have been pulled back, far outweighed by new cloud migration and growth.” That is a lot more than I would have thought. Charts:
And, for my main question, “how many apps are on public cloud versus private cloud,” the Flexera surveys have it around 55% public cloud to 45% private cloud, depending on company size.
MCP Best Practices - Including unit tests!
alto.index - Transform Your Apple Apps Data into AI-Ready Markdown - Export stuff from your Apple apps. I use Exporter, it’s pretty good.
UK govt study: Copilot AI saved workers 26 minutes a day - Well, that’s one way to do the ROI dance. // “And even using the more modest projected time savings of 4.59 days per employee per year, the £19 per employee per month cost of a Microsoft Copilot Pro subscription in the UK appears to be worthwhile.”
PwC’s AI Agent Survey - New bullet points (or really big text) for slide 3 of your AI pitch deck. // ”Of the 300 senior executives in our May 2025 survey, 88% say their team or business function plans to increase AI-related budgets in the next 12 months due to agentic AI. Seventy-nine percent say AI agents are already being adopted in their companies. And of those adopting AI agents, two-thirds (66%) say that they’re delivering measurable value through increased productivity.”
Tips on prompting ChatGPT for UK technology secretary Peter Kyle - Good tips on working with AIs: (1) use them a lot to build up an intuition of what works, (2) be aware of what they know, the cut off date for training and assume they have general, accepted mainstream knowledge, nothing too obscure, (3) use them for brainstorming and structuring your work. A crude summary: garbage in, garbage out.
Postfacto - Little utility to do team retros, from the Pivotal Labs folks. Open source, all that.
I don’t get the chance, or desire, to read everything. Sometimes, I have the robot read it. Here’s what it says. While enjoyable to read, robot summaries are not endorsements or necessarily my own opinions.
Fungi were once misclassified as plants, but are now offered as a model for artificial intelligence—quietly nourishing ecosystems while decomposing them from within. Somewhere in an English field, Chloe Dalton rescued a baby hare and rewilded her soul, which was not measured by precision sensors.
National Grid and Thoughtworks gave their legacy systems a second life using Change Data Capture and Domain-Driven Design. Meanwhile, a group of engineers procrastinated because their work was boring, vague, and stressful, a revelation that surprised no one but was backed by data.
The euro was meant to unify Europe, but mostly helps Germany borrow cheaply and issue stern looks to the rest. In Brussels, the European Commission moved to loosen enforcement of the newly minted AI Act, quietly shelving liability rules and allowing providers to self-certify as “low risk,” which has never gone wrong before.
Researchers taught one AI to critique another AI’s thoughts so the second could reflect and improve, completing the circle of academic life. And Pavel Samsonov diagnosed the “everything app” as a symptom of “nothing management”—a corporate condition in which leaders agree to everything until the product does nothing at all.
I don’t have much in the books at the moment. A list of CFPs I should really submit to. What conferences do you recommend I try and speak at?
SREDay Cologne, June 12th, speaking (10% off with the code CLG10).
I’m checking out Gemini and, thus, NotebookML again. So far, so good. I think. This is about the third time I’ve paid for it to try it out. Here’s my two test criteria this time: (1) does it have some personality? For this, I did a lot of coaching in the Saved Info section - this is where you can give it instructions and background that, I assume, gets loaded with every chat, (2) can I upload a shit-ton of content to it and have it actually use it.
I like this switch for a historical word-usage reason too. Back then, people would get really itchy if you said “private cloud” and included everything on-premises. They’d point out that a lot of what wasn't “cloud” - I don't know, automated, self-service, virtualized and containerized? These were the same people who got upset if you said or typed “on-prem.” Now, I don’t think anyone cares about either of those.
Of course, as I like to joke: if you went to American companies and you were like, “hey, what would you say if I suggested you should run all you of your business and store your data in France, under French and EU jurisdiction,” I highly doubt their answer would be “totes McGoats, love it, call up Wipro and let’s migrate that shit!”
Lots of links below, plus some sovereign cloud thinking from EU people in the Logoff.
To make enterprise AI useful, you need your data:
Gartner Inc. predicts that organizations will develop 80% of Generative AI (GenAI) business applications on their existing data management platforms by 2028. This approach will reduce the complexity and time required to deliver these applications by 50%.
And, it’d good to spend a lot of time making sure you’ve got good data management and access because “without a unified management approach, adopting these scattered technologies leads to longer delivery times and potential sunk costs for organizations.”
Along with managing your AI usage - hosting your own models or brokering access to others - we’ve bundled together data and data management into the Tanzu Platform. The important part is that you can run Tanzu Platform on-premises, so it’s a lot easier to work with your existing data sets and enterprise-y silos. And, you get full control over your data and apps (see Logoff below for one angle on why that’s important).
And, since this integrates with Spring, you’re Java developers are set to go. But, also all those python apps can work easily with it too: you just point them at the Tanzu Platform AI end-points.
For many organizations - our current customers - there’s something even better. You don’t have to wait for a contract renewal window and then six of 12 months of putting it in place and finally turning it on. All you to have all of this: you’ve got it, pre-approved, already running, paid for, compliant and secure.
Why go through all that migration and procurement hassle when you have what you need?
(If you want to find out if you have the Tanzu Platform at your work, ask me, I’ll find out right quick.)
Check out this quick overview of how to put together a (mostly enterprise) software marketing plan. There’s all sorts of methods, forms (in both portrait and landscape mode), but, come on: just use this one as the base, change it if needed, and get on with the work.
Tanzu reboots CloudHealth with enhancements to broaden FinOps use
Broadcom’s Private Cloud Outlook 2025 Report Reveals Definitive Cloud Reset - “More than half (53%) of survey respondents say private cloud is their top priority for deploying new workloads over the next three years, while 69% are considering workload repatriation from public to private cloud, with one-third having already done so. Private cloud is also now a strategic equal for AI and cloud-native apps, with 66% preferring to run container and Kubernetes-based applications on private cloud or a mix of public and private, while 55% prefer private cloud for AI model training, tuning and inference.”
United Airlines CEO: ‘We’re probably doing more AI than anyone’ - Finding what AI is useful for: ”’We started with an enormous number of [AI] use cases, and we whittled it down to the use cases that we want to spend money on,' COO and President John Waldron said during an investor conference last week. Enterprises can’t chase every lead. The share of companies abandoning most of their AI initiatives bumped up to 42% this year, compared to 17% last year, according to analysis from S&P Global Market Intelligence.”
Is AI just going to end up being about programming? - I think there’s about a 30% chance that the answer is yet. // Rather: AI is good at text. If you can get it into text, and you want text as the output: easy win.
Docling: An open-source tool kit for advanced document processing - Looks useful for getting precious text out of the PDF silo, from IBM.
MCP Is the New Control Point in AI—Are CIOs Ready for the Lock-In Battle? - They get the date of the spec’s release wrong (it was November 2024), and it has that Futurum cable TV news vibe, but good points are made, e.g.: “Will MCP remain truly portable, or will each vendor implement its own variation, selectively supporting features that reinforce its ecosystem? Early adopters should insist on full transparency in vendor MCP roadmaps, including plans for multi-cloud portability, third-party agent integration, and auditability of memory objects.” // There’s always someone to call lock-in FUD first - yes, and: good points made for any tech adoption in enterprises.
MCP Is RSS for AI: More Use Cases for Model Context Protocol - I like this: “I’m inclined to think of MCP as RSS for AI.” // Once prompts are used as intended - to be user initiated activity in the UI, we’ll see if things evolve. Think of an MCP prompt as adding a new button, or command to the UI…sort of. Most MCP things now are “tools” reading data or writing data, the AI puts some text into the tool, some text comes out. But, the tool user is the AI, not the human. Of course, the human can tell the AI to use it. We have demos of configuring Cloud Foundry this way. An MCP prompt’s user it meant to be a human, directly typing or clicking something. This might be too nuanced of a distinction and turn out not to be useful. The MCP clients, like Claude need better implementations of it (it should start with auto-complete slash commands, the example in the MCP spec!). // Another point: the MCP spec is making a big semantic gamble on the distinction between tools, prompts, and resources. Looking at all the tools so far, the others aren’t needed to get the functionality you want, but they do seem like a cleaner design. The people writing the MCP Servers will determine if those extra semantics (prompts and resources) are useful, needed.
What do people do all day? - Possible “can AI can replace my job?” heuristic: how long do you spend sitting at work?
Just because Silicon Valley is pumped to make this junk doesn’t mean people will buy it - Not a fan of AI glasses.
Using ChatGPT as a therapist - …people like it. Also, for the cost/benefit analysis, and the constant availability, it makes sense. // As with self-driving cars, this is also an example where we expect 100% accuracy and zero-risk from the AI and ignore the fact that humans (human therapists in this example) are not 100% perfect…usually far from it. // This is maybe the number one not-tech, not-work usage I hear about from normies.
Beyond Launch - Establish platform metrics early on. Not only to report on, but to mind-program people what to expect and how to think of ROI. Otherwise, the only way they’ll metric your platform is by “is it cheaper than it was last time.” // ‘In enterprise environments, silence gets interpreted as stagnation. Stakeholders will assume “if I’m not hearing about progress, there probably isn’t any” - and they’re usually right!’
Nine Rules for Evaluating New Technology - It should be cheaper, better, and not cause a lot of bullshit.
How to Lead an All-Hands After Delivering Bad News - “Create a shared mental model to make sure your team understands what the new context means for how they work together.” // That and, people also want to know: how will I know if I’m next and what I can do to prevent it?
Red Hat Summit 2025: AI, Virtualization, Hybrid Cloud, And The Future Of Enterprise IT
Cloud Repatriation is Getting Complicated - The repatriation thought-leading is taking hold. Even the bomb thrower is soaking in the ambient thought leadering!
Google Study: 65% of Developer Time Wasted Without Platforms - Better get a platform. // ‘Intriguingly, 86% of the survey’s respondents also said they believe that "platform engineering is essential to realizing the full business value of AI. " // “At the same time, a vast majority of companies view AI as a catalyst for advancing platform engineering, with 94% of organizations identifying AI to be ‘Critical’ or ‘Important’ to the future of platform engineering.”’
Reinvent the Wheel - ”Reinvent for insight. Reuse for impact.” // Yes, and: so long as the value of insight isn’t outweighed by the cost and risk of having to rewire all your day two stuff: how ops people manage and run it in production.
A New Look, A Clear Path - New IDC branding, logo, etc.
Donald Trump’s digital landgrab - File under “sovereign cloud”: “The state department is now claiming otherwise: if you’re on the internet and using a service provided by a US tech company, they say, then Donald Trump sets the rules. The US is quietly declaring sovereignty over cyberspace and expecting the world to acquiesce, making an unprecedented digital landgrab in the name of freedom.”
Moody Folkloric Fantasy – The Beast of Black Keep - This guy makes great, little adventures, here’s a new one.
Making books that fly, fold, wrap, hide, pop up, twist, and turn : books for kids to make - …and adults.
On the pleasure of reading private notebooks - Diaries (“journals”) and notebooks are the best, I love them as well. // “I think this is because our genuine thoughts (and interests) are more detailed and alive than the simulations we have of what we should say (or be interested in). When we think no one listens, we relax into the genuine. I’ve been told, repeatedly, that I hide my most interesting thoughts in the footnotes.” // “This is, I think, at the root of why I like reading private notes so much. There are so few places where we get to be close to other people and see the messy humanity they carry behind the identities they have polished for society life.” // There’s a certain kind of “comfort in knowing you’re not the only one” therapy in that.
“unhappens” Here.
JSON repatriation.
We were promised sentient computes, and all we got was call center automation.
Whatever the size, you probably only need half that sandwich.
“I need you to be helpful, not tell me everything that is wrong.”
“If my mom wanted good art on her fridge, she could’ve purchased reprints of works by Vermeer, Lichtenstein, Wyeth, etc. But she didn’t want good art – she wanted my art.”
“‘Paul Graham has published a blog post where he is wrong about something’ is not a news item so much as expected background radiation of contemporary life.” maya.land.
the soulless colleague, Val Thoermer.
Emotional support ice-pack.
I’m watching The European Sovereign Cloud Day today. The opening talk by David Michels is really going hard on the Trump means you need to get out of the US cloud market. Two quotes so far:
“Will the US government hand over your data without informing you?”
“Does Donald Trump have a big red button her can press to cut you off from your cloud service?”
What kind of data should you be FUD’ing about? Here’s a slide:
That’s the data, pushing that “big red button” is something most people probably don’t think of. The US government can just tell American companies to shut off access, you know, like impose sanctions. It’s already happened to the International Criminal Court (ICC) Chief Prosecutor Karim Khan, whose email was shut off by Microsoft:
The blocked access, enforced by Microsoft, means Khan can no longer read messages sent to his official account. The decision, directly tied to U.S. foreign policy, reportedly underscores the vulnerability of Dutch public institutions that depend on American tech infrastructure. The incident has reignited political debate about the extent to which the Netherlands can—and should—continue relying on Microsoft.
That stuff makes cloud a lot different for Europeans…and any “sovereign” state or group.
Of course, the same applies to any country. The EU drives all those little cookie pop-ups, but also means I can use USB-C cables for all my devices. I don’t mind those so much, really.
Let’s check in on how much private there is nowadays. I think it’s somewhere in the range of 40% to 60% of workloads1 globally. If you narrow down to “enterprises” (let’s say organization that have 5,000, even 10,000 employees), my sense is that the number goes way up, maybe 70%.
The way I think about the question “how much private cloud is there?” is “where are all the applications and services running.” I think most people think of that question in terms of revenue, market-share - a way of thinking that my 401(k) is way into as a sense-making tool, but doesn’t reflect how people should make strategic choices in IT.
And, yes, I’m obviously biased, swimming around in big, C.R.E.A.M-y pools of WYSIATI. I work at a company that is focused on building and selling private PaaS. That’s why I spend so much time gathering charts and anecdata on private cloud.
Oh, also, if you want a PaaS - or, “platform” if you prefer - you should use ours, the Tanzu Platform. It’s proven, used by all sort of enterprises, and, you know, just works.
Back to pondering…
My last private cloud check-in was July of 2024. The conclusions haven’t changed much since then, which part of the conclusion, I guess.
Here’s the charts and analysis I currently use at the tail end of Spring 2025, plus some new items from this week.
A chart like this has a lot of nuance. It’s the most recent IDC CloudPulse, one of the few analyst surveys/reports that asks the question “where are the workloads?” They don’t like to call it “private cloud,” and instead prefer “dedicated environment.” I assume the Q3 2028 numbers are estimates - IDC’s valuation would be a lot higher if they had a time machine.
They don’t like you using older data, which makes sense. Their methodology can change over the years. Here’s a screenshot of that represents my thinking, synthesis, and sloppy reconciling of surveys over the years:
Here, you see a steady state. We could call it 50/50.
That steady state matches up with a Goldman survey of CIO’s plans for cloud migration. I haven’t found an update on this, so it’s same as last time:
What you see in that chart is that CIOs are always going on about moving more workloads to public cloud, but they move a lot less than planned.2 The workloads stay where they are. And here, in January 2024, the % of workloads in private cloud was ~30%. That’s a lot less than the IDC numbers.
Now, I’ve tried to track down the PDFs for these surveys to understand them better, check methodology and definitions, etc., but never found them. Slides Benedict is reliable enough though, so I’ll trust he (and/or his intern) has done the work. As such, I use this chart more as vibe-check for charts than a primary ponder.
There’s a few more charts (this one in particular, and this one is pretty good too) that you should check out if you care about all this. I went over a full round-up of them at cfgmgmtcamp back in February as well.
And then, there’s this anecdata:
[W]e do have a lot of large customers that are running in AWS in the cloud today, and a huge number of them still have massive amounts of their estate on-premise. And so there’s a huge amount of growth available there. You can even take our largest customers, many of them only have 10, 20, 30, or 40 percent of their workloads in the cloud.
I put this under anecdata because the scoping isn’t specified and you can really go all confirmation bias on it. You can read it as saying that in large enterprises, anywhere between 60% and 90% of their workloads are running on private cloud. Of course, Garman might be talking about just two customers, or 500, or 50. Who knows! (And, what about the ones that are not AWS customers?)
Also, stating numbers like is about making sure you’re building in future growth into your share price. The point of the above is saying “and we’re going to get those workloads, think of all the future revenue!” - a variation on the “your margin is my opportunity” bit.
And then, we have Corey Quinn, this week on cloud repatriation:
Five years ago, I fairly confidently stated that Cloud Repatriation Isn’t a Thing, and I by and large stand by what I wrote. That said, it’s 2025, and the story has changed…
He goes on to list the reasons you’d move workloads from public cloud back to private cloud: lowering costs, especially for companies that are no longer in ZiRP-growth mode and data sovereignty.
This last part is the Trump effect - despite possible TACO safe-guards, does the rest of the world (business and government) want to run their business under the jurisdiction of Trump? Just like the US tech-folk go nuts when the EU calls the shots: nope. (Sure do like that USB-C on my Apple devices tho…)
Now, you have to be careful with repatriation surveys. What you want to know is not if they are doing (or even planning) repatriation, but how many workloads they’re moving (or plan to move). There’s a big difference between repatriating one or two workloads (like DHH or, as Corey recalls, Dropbox), or hundreds.
What caught my attention in Corey’s post though was that the repatriation thought-leader’ing has reached him, and enough for him to post about it! He could be making fun of AWS, but instead he’s talking about enterprise cloud repatriation.
The relevant Barclays survey is from April 2024, was promoted by Michael Dell in the same month, and showed up at VMware Explore in August, 2024. That thought-leader’ing has legs.3
(Checking out the original PDF is worth it for other fun charts, if you’re into these kinds of things.)
My employer has a new survey out on the private cloud use question (here’s a direct PDF link).
First, one of the charts on reparation:
I like it when a chart breaks down into categories as seen here: what are the characteristics/needs of the workloads being moved. Security is always on-top of the list (see below), and then the next two are about working with existing enterprise apps and systems. The forth - customer facing - is important because it tells you that the apps are important for the business.
Now, my “where are the workloads” focus is about where the existing workloads are. From the above, it feels like the answer has been the same (40% or 50% or 60% - whatever, you get the idea) for a while.
One reason is probably “because it works fine, don't screw with it.” Another reason might be because there hasn’t really been many new app types since, maybe, the 2010’s. In those years, enterprises was freaking the fuck out about “digital” and were rushing to get better at software, driving a bunch of new apps which dragged in a bunch of new infrastructure.
The survey doesn’t address my core question (how many workloads are on private cloud versus public cloud), but it does cover sentiments and plans for app placement. For example, as Raakhee Mistry summarizes:
When asked to identify each of their top cloud priorities, the most cited 3-year priority was to build new workloads in private cloud environments (53%)… 84% of organizations are using private cloud for both traditional and modern applications.
What those workloads are isn’t specified. But, from what people are saying AI is driving a lot of new workloads. After a year of PoC’ing and puttering around with python, followed by some planning and annual budget begging in Fall 2025, 2026 might be the year where enterprises start adding AI into a lot existing apps and making new apps - we’ll see!
The survey gives us a couple of interesting bits on this AI growth workload pondering. First, what are the “challenges” for doing AI? You can reframe “challenges” as “needs” or, simply, “requirements”4:
Security is always the #1 in concern. It’s both true and virtue-signaling: “What? Nah, we’re not worried about security,” said no IT survey respondent ever.
The second bar down is more interesting. The need to integrate with existing apps and data shows that people are not thinking of net-new, stand alone application, but ways of augmenting/improving their existing apps and, thus, businesses. This is great! It means they’re looking to get better at the bulk of what they do, not just play in the margins like making videos of a crooning grizzly bears in a lounge to, presumably, sell more Instagram cuff-links.
It’s also easy to imagine that with AI we’ll encounter data gravity again. That is, all that data and existing apps and services are on the private cloud (and will stay there), so your new apps will need some way to connect with them. See the surveys above for the important of integrating with data and existing apps!
This think pairs up with the last chart I use now, one from another Broadcom/VMware sponsored report in December 2025:
There, you can see that people are planning on deploying ~50% of their models on-premises. That’s not apps, sure, but if the model is on-premises, chances are high the apps will be there too.
So, for many of years now, the number of workloads on private cloud seems to be holding steady. There’s a strong possibility that a new type of application, AI, will drive interest in doing a lot of new applications. For those AI apps, data and access to existing enterprise goop is needed. Some people are pondering repatriation, at least enough for Corey to skip the opportunity to take more pot-shots at Kubernetes.
It must all mean something!
I joked in that February talk that the cloud people love talking about being in the first inning of a baseball game. Based on thorough joke-analysis of these “early in the first inning” quotes over the years, I estimated that this means the public cloud baseball game will wrap either in 2027 or 2068, with 2042 being somewhere in the middle:
If the game ended now, we’d be at a 50/50 split or so, bouncing around lazily over the years. Based on things in the last days of Spring 2025, I’m guessing we’re finally further into the last inning than just barely into the first.
That’s it for today. I have three things to self-promote, though:
My post first post in a series on writing MCP Servers for D&D. Hopefully the second will be up very soon, corporate copy editors and The New Stack CMS’ers willing.
I was super thrilled to interview Taegan Goddard on Whitney and I’s podcast. I really like his, I don’t know, blog, Political Wire and admire him as a indie publishing empire.
And, this week’s Software Defined Talk is fun, take a listen.
//
Oh, also, I asked ChatGPT to “make a picture of what you think I look like in a style you think I would I appreciate,” and it has a sort of Marc Maron if he were a hedge-wizard feel, don’t you think?
…enjoy your weekend.
Hey, The Kids, I’m sorry to be old. I use the term “workloads” to mean “stuff you run on your computers.” If it feels weird, sub-in the word “applications,” but keep in mind it should be something more like, “applications and services.”
As some of my snarkier enterprise friends like to say, cloud migrations are a 1 and half CIO job. The first CIO will launch the initiative, but leave after three years before it’s done, require the next one to spend half their time on it. Of course, it could turn into a 2 CIO job.
Here's some further commentary on the Barclays chart from Larry Walsh, August, 2024: “The problem with the 83% figure is that it represents companies, not workloads. So if 83% of enterprises decide to move one workload from the public cloud to their local infrastructure, the number remains true.”
Also, “shit that keeps the CIO up at night.”