Tag: predictions
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50%+ failure is normal
Analyst firm Gartner thinks at least half of all generative AI projects “will overrun their budgeted costs due to poor architectural choices and lack of operational know-how,” and most organizations that try to build custom models “will abandon their efforts due to costs, complexity and technical debt in their deployments.” Yes, and this matches decades…
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In its latest set of predictions, First said that this year, the upper bounds of its 90% confidence interval in fact approaches 118,000 CVEs, and according to the data, realistic scenarios suggest 70,000 to 100,000 disclosed vulnerabilities are “entirely possible”. The median figure for 2026, it said, would most likely be around 59,000.” 🔗 CVE…
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New tech requires new governance
IDC predicts that by 2027, half of all AI-enabled enterprise applications will require new oversight positions dedicated to governance, risk, and accountability. Predictions are mostly (only) valuable to see what someone is thinking and hoping to be true – their in-head-vibes. Here, you can see what one of the IT thought-leaders will be thought-leadering in…
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Does anyone read predictions pieces? In late 2025, I predict that only people who read prediction pieces are people who write prediction pieces.
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Gartner Predicts Over 40% of Agentic AI Projects Will Be Canceled by End of 2027 –
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Gartner Predicts by 2028, 80% of GenAI Business Apps Will Be Developed on Existing Data Management Platforms – “Gartner Inc. predicts that organizations will develop 80% of Generative AI (GenAI) business applications on their existing data management platforms by 2028. This approach will reduce the complexity and time required to deliver these applications by 50%.”
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IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Cloud 2024 Predictions – “Application modernization has been a nagging problem for decades but has recently emerged as a critical concern for enterprises, with around 62% of organizations worldwide considering it a high or top priority today, and over 70% expecting it to be a high or top priority in the next…
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‘Zero trust’ was supposed to revolutionize cybersecurity. Here’s why that hasn’t happened yet. – ’John Watts, a Gartner analyst, wrote in the firm’s annual predictions memo from last December that “moving from theory to practice with zero trust is challenging,” and that fewer than 1% of large enterprises are actually using it today…. Moreover, Watts…
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Gartner Says Four Trends are Shaping the Future of Cloud, Data Center and Edge Infrastructure – Some predictions about how organizations will do public cloud stuff, if you’re into Gartner predictions. Here is one on migrating apps to public cloud: ‘The focus of refactoring cloud infrastructure should be on optimizing costs by eliminating redundant, overbuilt…
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Platform Engineering Probably Doesn’t Mess with CaaS and IaaS
From the report “Top Strategic Technology Trends for 2023: Platform Engineering,” Paul Delory and Oleksandr Matvitskyy, Gartner, Oct 2022. The authors don’t take a strong position here (?), but I think their vision of platform engineering sits above the infrastructure layer. See the diagram above, for example. The platform engineering group doesn’t mess with that stuff. This…
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Link: Cisco says virtually all data center workloads will be based in the cloud by 2021
Vendor report, but fun numbers: “One of the main drivers fueling this race to the cloud is the explosion of software-as-a-service workloads, Cisco said. By 2021, 75 percent of the total cloud workloads and compute instances in the world will be SaaS-based, up from 71 percent in 2016.” Original source: Cisco says virtually all data…
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Link: Richard Florida predicts Amazon HQ2 location
‘At the top of the list, I would place New York, the greatest headquarters city in the world, and DC, the world’s power corridor. When I asked Scott Galloway, the author of the book “The Four,” where he thought Amazon would place its new headquarters, he simply said: New York, New York, and New York.…
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