Coté

Coté

The agentic AI hype-cycle is nearly done

To Have and Have Not, Christopher Still. Found in Leiden thrift.

Wastebook

  • “We live in the age of ‘fuck around and find out’ - of iteration and experimentation.” 8Ball wisdom.

  • “15 years ago, the internet was an escape from the real world. Now, the real world is an escape from the internet.” Noah Smith, via Ibid..

  • “everything is optimized for engagement instead of meaning,” the Curmudgeon Era of life.

  • If the likely outcome is the same, you might as well do a good job, so long as that’s fun too. If it’s not fun, do a bad job, if any at all.

  • Never let a slide template tell you how to live your life.

  • “The key to sales relationships, in my experience, is accountability. Take responsibility for mistakes. If you commit to something, do it. If you aren’t sure you can do something, don’t commit to it. This is harder than it looks.” James Dillard.

  • “the death of the author and the return of pleasure” promises of Barthes-lore.

  • “I blew off everything on Thursday and sat in a local place reading Ionesco with a glass of wine and an excellent coffee made with beans roasted in Naples.” Warren Ellis.

  • I always want to know the “therefore”: What it means, what effect it has, how to think different, what to do next. Knowing the diagnosis is helpful, knowing what to do next is more important.

  • déformation professionnelle.” Found in Russel Davies' neck of the woods.

  • And: “The Nobel laureate Alexis Carrel has observed that ‘[e]very specialist, owing to a well-known professional bias, believes that he understands the entire human being, while in reality he only grasps a tiny part of him.’”

  • “that’s what might occlude our catsup.”

  • “tweakments”

  • “To read - and announce oneself as having read - literature in translation is to be tasteful and intelligent, a latter-day cosmopolitan in an age of blighted provincialism.” Bros of literary criticism.

  • “obscurantism” Ibid.

  • “I don’t think that knowing anything helps. I don’t think there is anything to know.” -Rick Ruben.

  • Anything she says is correct. She just don’t talk much.

  • “To under­stand the San Joaquin Valley, or any pro­duc­tive ag region, as “rural” misses the point. This is a vast, open-air fac­tory floor, totally wired up, care­fully monitored. I say that with appre­ci­a­tion bor­dering on awe.” Robin Sloan.

Apelles painting Campaspe, Willem van Haecht, ~1630. Found in Leiden thrift store.

Relative to your interests

The agentic AI hype-cycle is nearly done

Good news, everyone. We can start doing “useful things” with agentic AI.

Gartner, November 11, 2024.

The hype cycle for agentic AI has been one the fastest ever. And I think we’re almost through hit without very many people actually have written agent AI code.

Let’s say Soaked McConaughey (Super Bowl, Feb 9th 2025) was the peak. And the beginning was sometime around October 2024 is when an NVIDIA blog asked “What is Agentic AI?”

Now, each thing I read about agentic AI, from a technical person, is all like “this is just hooking up genAI to your database.”

One sample:

An “AI Agent” is just a model with access to tools like “escalate ticket”, “run SQL query”, or “draw an image”. The rest of the hype comes from fitting it into existing workloads like ETL nonsense with MuleSoft or something banal like that. This is really what all the hype is about: hooking AI models up to existing infrastructure so that they can do “useful things.”

And MCP has made Richard Seroter’s list every week, sometimes daily, in the past three or so weeks, so we’re hopefully clinging up the trough to the Plateau of Productivity. Hopefully this means we’ll finally start doing “useful things” at scale in enterprises.

That said, the odd thing is I don’t think very many people have even written and deployed agentic AI apps yet.

(I put together a small timeline here, minus the Super Bowl part.)

Conferences

Events I’ll either be speaking at or just attending.

VMUG NL, Den Bosch, March 12th, speaking. SREday London, March 27th to 28th, speaking. Monki Gras, London, March 27th to 28th, speaking. CF Day US, Palo Alto, CA, May 14th. NDC Oslo, May 21st to 23rd, speaking. SREDay Cologne, June 12th, speaking.

Discounts: 10% off SREDay London with the code LDN10.

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I should re-learn programming. It’d make my marketing work a lot easier and truer. A programmer who can market is a good place to be.

@cote@hachyderm.io, @cote@cote.io, @cote, https://proven.lol/a60da7, @cote@social.lol