With Matt and Brandon fresh back from IBM’s InterConnect conference we talk about IBM’s announcements – mostly cloud related. It looks like IBM is doin’ alright, well, except for all those quarters of revenue decline aside, but maybe that’s the just what has to be stomached to evolve. We also discuss working with the corporate editorial desk and the concept of “serverless programming.”
“When accepting a task, this philosophy proposes immediately allocating time in the calendar to accomplish it. Consider the due date, the time required, and the relative importance. Then book the slot…. This extra step reinforces the rigid time constraint immediately, not later when I’m staring at a lengthy to-do list and wondering where to begin. Each yes to a commitment is an implicit no to another. The calendar visualizes the tradeoff of each potential yes, making explicit the commitment to a task.”
After discussing PCI and the proper sound track for reading such stuff, we go over the 2016 RightScale cloud survey (it seems cloud is a thing!). We talk a bit about what’s so attractive about Docker and IDC’s estimate that global IT spending in 2016 will be around $2.6T, with the US seeing growth but the rest of the world sort of slowing down. Also, our instant coffee recommendation.
‘There were some bright spots in 2015. IDC says “Spending on cloud infrastructure was also strong throughout the year, resulting in growth of 16% for the server market and 10% for storage systems.” Spending on enterprise software rose seven per cent, as organisations snapped up “analytics, security, and collaborative applications.”‘
“There’s nobody riding to the rescue from developing economies in 2016. Russia and Brazil are in the doldrums and while India is surging, expected eight per cent growth from the sub-continent represents a fall from last year’s 13 per cent and won’t therefore be enough to lift global growth rates…. At least the United States is doing better: its predicted four per cent growth will make it a standout and certainly contrasts with IDC’s prediction that Western European spending will grow by an anaemic one per cent.”
1,060 respondents “including both users (17 percent) and non-users (83 percent) of RightScale solutions.”
Cloud == Speed metrics, most growth in people valuing/seeing those two benefits of cloud questions
Maturity cycle (pg. 23) of cloud use seems to be: move workloads (“raw VMs”) to cloud, optimizing cost, and then doing dev (CI/CD) while continuing to move more workloads – the old burn out the underbrush first/mise en place before cooking
“What would businesses lose if Docker or its competitors disappear?”
“Container technologies are the latest in long line of open source software, virtualization and DevOps tools that are consumed by developers before they get buy-in from CIOs”
“What CIOs are ultimately looking for is the ability to solve business problems faster than their competitors, while reducing risk, adhering to regulatory requirements and increasing efficiency,” says Redmonk analyst Fintan Ryan.
I’ll be speaking at DevOpsDays London this coming April. It’ll be exciting, and the line-up looks great:
Joanne Molesky (The Lean Enterprise) – We are great at DevOps but the Enterprise is failing
Gareth Rushgrove (DevOps Weekly/Puppet Labs) – Rate of change, (un)opinionated platforms and Devops coevolution
Kris Saxton (Automation Logic) – Bi-Model IT and other Snakeoil
Thiago Almeida (Microsoft) – DevOps inside Microsoft engineering: lessons learned
Gene Kim (The Phoenix Project) – The impact of DevOps becoming mainstream
Jeromy Carriere (Google) – Enterprise Ops Rising
Casey West (Pivotal) – Minimum viable platform
And, here’s the talk I’ll be giving, the first of my 2016 “state of DevOps”-style talks:
Land of the Living Donkeys, State of DevOps in 2016
DevOps is finally mainstream and there will massive carnage from companies that don’t understand how to properly apply it to their organizations. These are the “donkeys” that contrast to the “unicorns” we spend all our time focusing on. This talk goes over what drives the need for DevOps for donkeys, how they can safely apply it to their organization, and stories of regular companies doing so.
It’s one thing for tech companies to seek out the best way to create and run their own software, but seeing non-tech companies large and small start to gravitate towards becoming software experts is a recent trend. Regular companies – “donkeys” in my parlance – are being forced to become software companies. After years of outsourcing and neglecting this part of IT in favor of wringing out costs in virtualization and SaaS, most companies find themselves terrible deficient in their software development capabilities. Thankfully, cloud and DevOps are racing in the save the day. But wait, is it just as simple as installing a cloud, putting Jenkins in place, and then deploying daily? Hardly. There’s predictions that around 90% of these types of transformations will fail. And rightly so, there’s nothing easy about being a software company.
This talk will cover the history that’s brought us to this point – how companies are now in a position where they need to become masters of their own custom software development – and then give guidelines for safely and reliably making the switchover to taking on a DevOps mind-set. I’ll cover associated concepts like what cloud actually is and can do for you and the major way that “management” needs to change.
There’s some early bird tickets left, or just regular priced ones if you want to lallygag: check out the registration page. If you end up coming – or are in town those dates – it’d be awesome to meetup!
Pivotal is also sponsoring, so we’ll be there with a full table and the usual compliment of schwag and conversations to be had. I’ll see y’all there!
But this can be a toxic formula. The financial optimization algorithm always prioritizes the known over the unknown since the known can be measured and is assigned a quantum of value while the unknown is “discounted” with a steep hurdle rate, and assigned a near zero net present value. Thus the financial algorithm leads to promoting efficiency at the expense of creation. Efficiency may be the right priority when times are difficult and resources are scarce but creativity is the right priority in a time of plenty. And abundance is what being big is all about.
Cloud Native Promises in the Land of Continuously Delivered Microservices – this is the talk I have going over exactly what a “cloud platform” is, why you’d care, and what it does for it. More than anything, it’s one of the many attempts to frame up what cloud is: a stack of stuff to help make software delivery better, put another way, the “infrastructure” that makes continuous delivery possible.
With Matt Ray in Australia we discuss the character of the tech scene over in that neck of the woods. We also talk about Oracle’s new positioning as one-stop cloud shop, The Gang of Four/FANG type thinking, and balancing small company culture vs. selling to The Enterprise.
Oracle’s Shooting for Cloud Relevance – Pretty good article on the overall landscape. Best of Breed vs. Integrated Stack clouds: “any large-scale hardware vendor without a successful public cloud business will have a severely challenged business model.” Since then, EMC has collapsed into Dell, HP has shut down its public cloud, VMware is being criticized by financial analysts for having its business “eaten alive” by the public cloud, and Citrix split itself apart at its shareholder’s behest”
Amazon misses earnings, still ridiculous – “Amazon Web Services’ fourth quarter revenue grew 69 percent year over year, generating $2.41 billion in sales. But the crazy growth of its cloud is slowing down a bit: two quarters ago, Amazon posted 82 percent growth in AWS revenue; last quarter, sales grew 78 percent year over year. Still, $2.41 billion beats analyst estimates of $2.38 billion.”
54m Prime members – “Prime has 54 million U.S. members, up 35% from 2014. The report also showed that 47% of Amazon’s total customers are Prime members. These latest numbers follow the recent news that 38% of American households are members”